Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.157404 0.184060 0.213353 0.247863 0.287336 0.331001 0.382887
2025-12-21 0.109570 0.144577 0.187279 0.242866 0.312942 0.397945 0.508406
2025-12-28 0.086775 0.125325 0.176123 0.247219 0.343281 0.467571 0.639366
2026-01-04 0.073156 0.113867 0.171020 0.255844 0.376975 0.541874 0.781019
2026-01-11 0.062345 0.103725 0.165159 0.261127 0.404873 0.609234 0.917901
2026-01-18 0.053344 0.094373 0.158487 0.263395 0.427406 0.669740 1.049104
2026-01-25 0.045790 0.085828 0.151456 0.263550 0.445807 0.724698 1.175623
2026-02-01 0.039068 0.077421 0.143234 0.260314 0.457833 0.770123 1.290400
2026-02-08 0.033396 0.069839 0.135180 0.256013 0.467088 0.811186 1.400667
2026-02-15 0.027936 0.061666 0.124854 0.246273 0.465753 0.834404 1.483258
2026-02-22 0.026287 0.060639 0.127318 0.259455 0.504919 0.927097 1.686189
2026-03-01 0.022516 0.054615 0.119479 0.252559 0.507435 0.957498 1.786059
2026-03-08 0.019130 0.048881 0.111548 0.244763 0.507931 0.985151 1.884783
2026-03-15 0.016433 0.044201 0.105114 0.239143 0.511956 1.019436 1.997996
2026-03-22 0.014929 0.042028 0.103643 0.243378 0.535309 1.090475 2.182074
2026-03-29 0.013915 0.040866 0.104203 0.251876 0.567803 1.180748 2.407372
2026-04-05 0.012778 0.039174 0.103315 0.257085 0.593950 1.260666 2.618392
2026-04-12 0.011582 0.037095 0.101222 0.259321 0.613983 1.329973 2.813500
2026-04-19 0.010410 0.034846 0.098386 0.259474 0.629444 1.391099 2.996354
2026-04-26 0.009209 0.032264 0.094343 0.256283 0.637213 1.437118 3.152186
2026-05-03 0.008108 0.029747 0.090089 0.252043 0.642145 1.477480 3.299007
2026-05-10 0.006926 0.026709 0.083984 0.242439 0.633830 1.489381 3.388388
2026-05-17 0.006740 0.026876 0.086660 0.255436 0.679330 1.618639 3.728069